Population projections: births by municipality - Years 2022-2041 (base 2021)

The dataset presents the projections of births by municipality. The projected data, according to the various evolutionary hypotheses of fertility trends and migratory movements, were processed following the Cohort Component Model methodology. The projected births are distinguished by year (as of 31/12), gender and municipality. The forecasts are articulated according to three different hypotheses: - the average hypothesis which foresees a continuation of the current levels of fertility and migration; - the high hypothesis which elaborates a scenario of growth both in fertility levels and in the intensity of migratory flows; - the low hypothesis which differs from the medium hypothesis due to a decreasing trend over time of fertility levels. This dataset was released by the municipality of Milan. The path to use to find the original dataset on sisi.comune.milano.it is: sisi.comune.milano.it - ​​Demographic estimates and population projections - Projections - Scenario (High, Central, Low) - Births - Births by Municipality