This dataset contains the results of the estimate of the outflow of elderly people from the housing market in four scenarios derived from the WLO cahier 'Regional developments and urbanization' (CPB & PBL 2015). These are single people over the age of 65 who die, move to institutional housing or start living together, leaving a home behind. The table contains the absolute number of outflowing households for the 40 COROP regions for 2015 and the reference years 2030 and 2050 for the four High-base and Low-base scenarios and the additional High-spread and Low-concentration scenarios. The shares of the outflow are also included in the total available supply, as are the shares of rental and owner-occupied homes in the outflow. The outflow of older households has been calculated on the basis of the calculations for WLO regional developments and urbanisation. The relative weight of this outflow in the total available supply on the housing market (in addition to regular flow and new construction) has also been mapped out. An additional model was used to estimate the ratio between rental and owner-occupied homes in the outflow. For further explanation, see Eskinasi, M. & J. Ritsema van Eck (2018), Outflow of the elderly from the housing market. The Hague: PBL. Use the WLO Package Leaflet for correct use of the reference scenarios and usage restrictions http://www.wlo2015.nl/rapporten-wlo/bijsluiter The package leaflet discusses: - Use of the reference scenarios - Use of the uncertainty assessments in addition to the reference scenarios - Role of international and national policy in the WLO scenarios - Erosion of the starting points of scenarios due to new insights, developments and policy - WLO scenarios and transition - Availability and level of detail of data Use the following source reference: Eskinasi, M. & J. Ritsema van Eck (2018) Outflow of elderly people from the housing market: a nationwide estimate based on the WLO. The Hague: PBL.
